My Iowa Predictions

It's now 7:00 PM on the evening of Thursday, January 3, 2008. The Democratic Caucus in Iowa opens in half an hour, and the Republican caucus opens in one hour. I hereby commit to blogospheric posterity my predicted outcomes:

Democratic Caucus
Obama - 38%
Edwards - 30%
Clinton - 29%
Richardson - 2%
Biden - 1%

I also predict that Biden and Dodd will withdraw from the race when these results are known.

Republican Caucus
Huckabee - 34%
Romney - 25%
Thompson - 13%
McCain - 13%
Paul - 10%
Giuliani - 4%

I also predict that none of these candidates will withdraw from the race before the New Hampshire primaries.

Now, if it turns out that these predictions prove to be suspiciously accurate, some may suspect me of resorting to some sort of trickery. It is true that one can manually set the timestamp for Blogger posts, so it is theoretically possible that this post was actually composed Friday morning, and the timestamp backdated to Thursday evening.

I just want to assure my readers that I did nothing of the sort. As Joe Klein so memorably put it, I'll stake my reputation on it.